Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.559040 0.615438 0.677615 0.751728 0.838298 0.937012 1.059242
2024-12-15 0.470367 0.553534 0.655003 0.790604 0.971448 1.211210 1.566023
2024-12-22 0.396218 0.488982 0.610910 0.789088 1.054677 1.458743 2.175437
2024-12-29 0.356420 0.457772 0.599794 0.824820 1.198173 1.853929 3.291622
2025-01-05 0.312887 0.412724 0.558866 0.804112 1.245012 2.114474 4.423886
2025-01-12 0.272943 0.366421 0.507302 0.753239 1.221475 2.229367 5.372514
2025-01-19 0.241953 0.329290 0.463968 0.706639 1.191067 2.315849 6.397832
2025-01-26 0.228658 0.317218 0.458282 0.724388 1.294623 2.786978 9.880664
2025-02-02 0.223629 0.317167 0.471913 0.780373 1.502983 3.728369 20.298401
2025-02-09 0.211969 0.304999 0.462809 0.789384 1.604333 4.448319 37.426978
2025-02-16 0.196961 0.285835 0.438865 0.762830 1.603811 4.791800 58.184373
2025-02-23 0.187214 0.274649 0.428102 0.762682 1.678022 5.575827 135.269123
2025-03-02 0.178109 0.264472 0.419334 0.768587 1.785292 6.805832 786.497838
2025-03-09 0.170126 0.255800 0.412910 0.780211 1.925365 8.689562 NaN
2025-03-16 0.160271 0.243040 0.397172 0.766654 1.976920 10.208314 NaN
2025-03-23 0.155426 0.238856 0.398034 0.795326 2.208558 14.716381 NaN
2025-03-30 0.146551 0.226567 0.380910 0.773335 2.224989 17.002164 NaN
2025-04-06 0.136211 0.210893 0.355339 0.724302 2.102754 16.666538 NaN
2025-04-13 0.127095 0.197005 0.332509 0.679880 1.987799 16.223486 NaN
2025-04-20 0.123734 0.193663 0.331652 0.696479 2.166595 23.392695 NaN
2025-04-27 0.123237 0.195665 0.342449 0.749206 2.576307 49.163786 NaN
2025-05-04 0.119565 0.191272 0.338665 0.757658 2.759605 80.680489 NaN
2025-05-11 0.113978 0.182801 0.324955 0.732620 2.723377 95.051292 NaN